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Yes, it’s been 22 days since the Oilpocalypse began. Count on me to mark off calendar days so you don’t have to.

NASA satellite (MODIS) image of the flow at the surface – May 9th

CBC News | BP turns to new options in oil cleanup – First the Macondome, now the Top Hat. “The smaller dome is able to inject methanol, an alcohol used as antifreeze, into its top to prevent the same type of crystals, or hydrates, from forming … the company hopes to have the smaller dome in place by the end of the week.”

Back close to the shore, the slick spreads west.

NOLA.com | Gas surge shut well a couple of weeks before Gulf oil spill – “[UC Berkeley engineering professor, Robert] Bea believes the narrative he is creating raises serious questions about the risk assessments used by BP and the Minerals Management Service.”

Speaking of the MMS, it could be split, giving the rig inspection arm more autonomy.

For every disaster, there’s always the disaster on top of the disaster: The New Orleans Lens reports that BP oil cleanup jobs are not the stimulus Vietnamese, who constitute half of the fisherpeople hurt by the spill, hoped for.

Guess they can always go work for the oil industry, while their families reside on polluted land. Southeastern Louisiana ranked #1 in Mike Mandel’s recent calculation of metro areas with the biggest real per-capita income gains between 2000 and 2008.

The top ten cities, measured by growth in per capita income, had an average college graduate rate of 17.7%. The bottom ten cities had a college graduate rate of 31.8% … my personal view is that the lack of rewards for educationwhich show up in the individual income statistics as wellis correlated to the lack of commercially-successful breakthrough innovations, which would immediate sop up all the excess college graduates.

To put it another way, innovative industries tend to locate where they can get a lot of college graduates. That means high education areas attract new companies, boosting growth.

But without innovation,  the whole economic development dynamic changes. You can’t attract growing innovative companies because they are few and far between. For their part,  companies are more likely to view cost as a main consideration in deciding where to locate.  Goodbye San Jose and Austin, hello China and India.

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The containment dome failed, Top Kill is looking like a no-go, the flow by now is higher than 5000 barrels per day and Joe Lieberman says, “Accidents happen.”

There’s a difference, senator, between Accidents Happen and The Accident Is Still Happening 21 Days After And Nothing Can Stop It.

BP is now attempting a smaller Macondome. The Department of Interior under both Bush and Obama is a hot, zero-oversight mess (even the Government Accountability Office is scared).

NOAA’s spill location forecast for 6pm CDT today:

University of Southern Florida Ocean Circulation Group’s spill trajectory hindcast/forecast based on West Florida Shelf ROMS for 4pm CDT tomorrow

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Paul Rademacher has created a Google Earth mashup in which you can overlay the extent of the Gulf of Mexico oil spread as of May 6th on any place on the globe. How big is the slick compared to where you live? Remember that the gusher will only keep widening in extent as long as the oil continues to spew out of the leaks in the riser

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Covers major leak and allows room for rovers and other equipment to reactivate the blowout preventer over the wellhead. Note that this graphic commits to the leak being approximately 600 feet from the wellhead. [Source: LiveScience]

Now if, for the love of God, it just works.

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Today, the fabled “containment dome” is lowered onto one of the leaks in the fallen riser, not the well head itself as some seem to think.

… Once the containment dome is lowered, remote operated subs will guide it into place. Engineers will use the drillship Discoverer Enterprise to lower two pipes, a smaller one inside a larger one. They intend to flow the leaking oil up 5,000 feet through the smaller pipe into storage tanks on the drillship at the surface.

Think of it as placing a slushie lid over (what I hope is) the leak closest to the well head, sticking a straw within a straw in the lid and gas-lifting the emulsion to the surface. Oilfield engineers explain that this is a dangerous procedure given the gas needed to mobilize the oil. Hence the straw within the straw.

[BP executives Bob] Fryar and [David] Clarkson said they are concerned about gas hydrates that form ice plugs inside the drill pipe as the oil begins to flow upwards. They intend to pipe warmer surface water down between the larger pipe and the smaller one to keep ice plugs from forming. Injecting methanol may also help dissolve ice plugs, they said.

The New York Times warns, “The dome will not shut off the gushing well, which is still spilling an estimated 210,000 gallons of oil a day; the goal is just to keep some of the oil out of the water by capturing it and then funneling it [out].”

Speaking of the estimated amount of oil still spewing out, a Florida State University professor says that satellite images indicate that 10 million gallons of oil could already be in the Gulf so far, much higher than the three million gallons estimate. Basic math time: 210,000 gallons per day estimated x 16 days = 3.36 million gallons total to date. 10 million gallons as hypothesized by Professor Ian MacDonald divided by 16 days = 625,000 gallons per day. That’s 3 times the BP and Coast Guard estimation. Let us hope he is SO SO wrong.

“It may be that they’re right.  I hope they are,” he said.  “The less oil that’s out there the better, and the only purpose of trying to do this is to get as many points of view as we can so we have the best understanding of what we’re facing, ’cause we’re all in this together.”

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