The latest from Machelle. Apparently, she’s not leaving due to deteriorating safety conditions while attempting to leave New Orleans.

At this point Machelle remains in New Orleans with her friend Felicity and her entire family. The flooding never reached her apartment, and the house she’s staying in now is even further from the flooding. No electricity or running water are definitely complicating things, of course. They have also cleverly parked her car under a fallen tree in the yard to make it look unattractive to people who think a car with gas is a hot commodity.

The most immediate problem/fear for Machelle was the rioting and looting. She contemplated leaving the city today, but people were being carjacked trying to leave the city. Machelle felt it was much safer to wait for the troops to arrive and get that situation under control. She feels they are safe & “have plenty of guns in the house.” They seem to have the supplies they need for now.

Machelle also said that they were possibly going to be interviewed by ABC News radio. . . she was hoping to even make it on the evening news. I haven’t heard any more details about it yet.

When Machelle is a hot, hot celebrity, she can thank me for sending the ABC news producer her way.

In Waterworld-related news, flooding has crested and water is starting to recede, but what is not inspiring is this bit of news, also from the Times Picayune:

… water was still spreading through Uptown Wednesday morning, and was making its way over St. Charles Avenue towards the river. On Marengo Street, water was 3 to 10 feet high in stretches between Claiborne and St. Charles avenues and between Napoleon Avenue and Louisiana. Water lapped into the bottom floors of houses, and residents were being evacuated by boat on Marengo and surrounding streets. Along Prytania Street, the water was a foot high and still rising at 10:30 a.m. And while water was still running in Uptown faucets Tuesday night, the flow stopped Wednesday.

There goes the green “safe zone” from the previous post. Great, soon my neighborhood, the Lower Garden District, is going to be the one island jutting out of the Sea of New Orleans.

Nagin just opined on TV that our return to New Orleans may take 12 to 14 weeks. I’m not crazy about this outlook.

The Tulane University website hosts a very inspiring letter from president, Scott Cowen:

The uptown campus is covered with debris from fallen trees and shrubs, making it almost impossible to drive or even walk on campus. We have no power in any of the buildings other than a few where we control the power source.

In addition, we don’t know when our employees will be able to return to the city, much less to the university.

It is difficult to describe what this situation feels like for those involved. It is surreal and unfathomable; yet, there is light at the end of the tunnel. Our focus is on the light and not the darkness.

My only hope is that the tunnel doesn’t lengthen as more levees are breached and flooding continues.

Airport News: CNN TV reports that New Orleans Armstrong International Airport is open for incoming flights bearing emergency supplies.

Amy writes:

“I just talked with Machelle. She’s doing fine, but she woke up this morning to no running water. She said the water is rising and people are going crazy, but her building is still dry and safe because the police are living there, etc. However, at this point she is considering leaving, and she’s going to talk with some friends who are still there. She’s getting tired but is still perfectly fine.”

A sad note from my friend, Shannon, who owns a home in Slidell, north of Lake Pontchartrain: “I just found out I lost everything and since I moved out of my house before I [evacuated] I am not covered.”

Hopeful Quote Of The Day: “If we can clean up after Mardi Gras, we can clean up after this.”

Keep those prayers coming, people.

READ THIS BLOG! neworleans.metblogs.com has an outstanding NO elevation graphic (courtesy of the Washington Post of all papers) and some funny-informative takes on what’s going on.

Fox News is saying the entire city will be covered in 15 feet of water. That is simply bullshit. Maybe in small parts of Lakeview or New Orleans East that will be the case, but not anywhere else. If you’re uptown, downtown, bywater, warehouse district.. don’t write off your posessions just yet. It’s still going to suck, bad, but don’t listen to the sensationalist reports of 12 feet of water over the entire city.

Regardless, with no power, running water, sanitation facilites, crime control and friends for company, even a mildly-flooded city is no place to return to. On second thought, maybe I’ll go back and become a Smoker. Yaaarrrrr!!

Through a friend and colleague, Kavita, I now have some word of Shell operations after Hurricane Katrina. The company is understandably quite scattered and disorganized at the present time, but Shell emergency personnel and Human Resources wish that you check in with them via phone or in person at the Houston Woodcreek office ASAP.

The toll-free number is (866) 745-5489. Shell hurricane updates here.

The unofficial word right now is that it may be a month or so before we can return to work at One Shell Square in downtown New Orleans. Until then, space will be made on a critical-need basis in the Houston offices so that we continue to work.

Mars TLP in Gulf of Mexico
Mars Tension Leg Platform In Gulf of Mexico – Destroyed Topside

West Delta 143 and the Mars TLP have sustained severe damages, as well as a number of drilling platforms. More importantly, no Shell personnel have been hurt as far as the company knows. So, I urge you to check in through phone or in person at your earliest convenience.

If you wish to stay in contact with me, please do not hesitate to email. We WILL see each other in New Orleans and soon. Until then, my best to you.

I’ve received quite a few emails from friends and scared evacuees wondering about their friends and homes back in New Orleans. When all one’s got is CNN TV and a barrage of (good) information from the Times Picayune, one is bound to get frustrated not knowing what to believe.

Before you read any further, keep in mind that there are several different types of damage: flood, wind, downed trees, structural damage, looting of stores. The following deals with Orleans Parish neighborhoods flooded by compromised levees.

In order to keep yourselves from getting confused, go online and find a map of New Orleans with all of the neighborhoods marked, like the one below. Now, for the third dimension, i.e. altitude, divide the portion of New Orleans between the lake and the river into two roughly-horizontal strips that are two bowls within the larger bowl of New Orleans, separated by the Metairie or Gentilly Ridges. See here for a cross-section from the river (by the FQ) to the lake (NO East). Also, Jon just sent me a CNN graphic with another cross-section that illustrates my point.

The upper strip containing Mid City, City Park, Lakeview (west of City Park) and New Orleans East (east of the Fairgrounds) is the northern and lower-lying bowl-within-a-bowl. Uptown, the Garden District, the Central Business District (Superdome, Shell) and the French Quarter are higher.

Disclaimer: The above topographic description of New Orleans is not entirely exact, but it works for the purpose of this exercise.

New Orleans

The higher bowl has not experienced too much flooding yet, mostly because rising water has to cross a small saddle to spill over. This is what we don’t want. However, if a few more levees are breached “pouring hundreds of thousands of gallons of lake water per second into the New Orleans area,” I’m going into the gondola-tour business.

More from NASA’s Earth Observatory.

Please hold while I go lose my coffee.

New rule: I refuse to believe any media coverage of Katrina’s effect on New Orleans until I read it in the Times Picayune. That, too, I will cross-check with their previous posts. Since pictures speak a thousand words in such a circumstance, it is worth it for evacuees and concerned parties to keep abreast with the T-P photo galleries.

In one segment of CNN’s Situation Room with Wolf Blitzer this evening, two different reporters stated that the French Quarter is dry and the water is rising in the Quarter, respectively.

Patrick, another evacuee, and I concur that there is something fishy about “the news saying the water is rising, but then one of the senators from LA said that many areas of the city are dry.” So, where is the rising water going?

Additionally, these big news companies sensationalize and don’t realize that it frustrates evacuees who just want simple facts instead of played-out footage. In other words, give us new and relevant CONTENT or stop fluttering.

Tchoupitoulas St. WalMart
“Shopping For Free” At The Tchoupitoulas St. WalMart

The picture above shows looting at the Lower Garden District’s (most hated) SprawlMart. Nice to know that these fine folk are taking away large electronics (clearer in other pictures) which are essential to post-hurricane survival like food, water, basic clothing and personal hygiene products, never mind that they require, ahem, power. Notice that there is not a drop of water in the parking lot. The Lower Garden District appears to have a long way to go before it is flooded.

Can anyone confirm that the two breaches in the Florida Street levee constitute the third levee breach so far?