LiveScience | What Will Happen During the Next 100 Days of the Oil Spill?

… scientists say it could take decades to comprehend the toll the last 100 days took on wildlife — from sea turtles to bacteria.

Currently, oil covers approximately 638 miles (1,026 kilometers) of Gulf shoreline, according to the Deepwater Horizon Incident Joint Information Center

… can only hope that about 35 years from now, when these hatchlings reach maturity, they will still have the same instinct to return to the beaches where their mothers nested to lay eggs.

The size of the “dead zones,” where low oxygen levels cause marine life to languish and die, may grow in the coming days … [But] “the Gulf, with the warm temperature and the sunshine, can break down the oil really fast,” [University of Texas Marine Science Institute marine researcher Zhanfei] Liu said. “It spreads out, the bacteria attacks the oil really fast. This is not like the oil spill in Alaska.”

Undoubtedly, hurricanes will visit the Gulf within the next 100 days — hurricane season won’t end until the beginning of December … But scientists cannot predict how a hurricane might disperse the oil.

Put differently, our fate is similar to that of Joel, Crow and Tom Servo, trapped on a spaceship and forced to watch this low-budget horror movie play out until god knows when.

Image from Photoshop of Horrors: Wired Readers Show BP How It’s Done

100 FRAKING DAYS.

Christian Science Monitor | From ‘static kill’ to ‘bottom kill’: next steps in Gulf oil spill – best explanation of the Static Kill followed by Bottom Kill methodology I’ve seen yet.

[Bottom kill] will come after “static kill,” which has a tentative start date of next Monday. Static kill would deposit the same mixture of materials into the top of the well. Unlike “top kill” in late May, which employed the same tactic, static kill is considered a more realistic solution to preventing oil flow because the container cap, installed in mid-July, is providing a tighter seal around the wellhead and therefore won’t allow oil and gas to escape.

And why things have seemingly slowed down over the last couple of weeks. Copious amounts of champagne after the last container cap worked Bonnie and all that casing.

Both operations are being prepared simultaneously. Monday the well lines are being reattached to the riser pipes that extend from the seafloor to near the surface, after they were temporarily abandoned this weekend due to the threat of tropical storm Bonnie. Both lines will be flushed to remove sediments.

Starting Wednesday and continuing through Sunday, the lines will each be fitted with a 2,000-foot internal casing pipe that will carry the materials downward. Once they are in place, the static kill operation will occur, likely Monday. The entire endeavor is set to prepare the launch of the relief well operation.

“The week after next we will have the potential … to begin killing the well.”

Did anyone hear Jon Stewart saying last night that Tony Hayward started at BP as a geologist at the age of 22 and with a PhD? Ah, that famous one-year University of Edinburgh PhD. Ok, it turns out he was 25. Either way, it’s the first I heard he started out in the industry as a production geologist before “rising quickly through the ranks in a series of technical and commercial roles in BP Exploration” and “coming to Lord ‘Culture of Complacency’ Browne‘s attention.” The shame.

In other news, a plan to kill American geologist with poison beer. The terrorists know our weakness.

Anatomy of an Oil Spill Part I: The Sea Shepherd‘s Bonny Schumaker recently flew New Orleans blogger Dambala out over the Gulf of Mexico’s shelf. He photodocuments the flight from New Orleans over  Raccoon Island, LA (Louisiana’s most important seabird nesting site west of Breton Sound) to the Deepwater Horizon site and then to Horn Island, MS and Ocean Springs Airport, MS and back.

One thing which became immediately apparent was the large amount of failed boom, not just at Racoon, but all over the barrier islands.

… After leaving Racoon, we took off toward the Horizon well site.  We immediately ran into signs of oil and dispersant, on a rather large scale.  We spotted a small pod of dolphins right about a mile from the Racoon area, but after that … nada.  I’ve flown over the Gulf before and been out in boats, and I was very spooked at the overall absence of dolphins.

As we progressed, the oil became more and more apparent in different forms and textures.  It was like Baskin Robbins 32 flavors of Hell …

* I don’t know how many of you caught this piece of news over the weekend but a Deepwater Horizon chief engineer revealed to federal investigators that fire and gas alarms aboard the rig had been disabled for at least a year “because the rig’s leaders didn’t want to wake up to false alarms.” Having spent several nights onboard another Transocean drilling vessel, this makes me feel all kinds of lucky and freaked out. Safety culture, you betcha.

* JoeJoeJoe pointed me to this NatGeo article with a photo gallery which explains how “UV light could help cleanup crews pinpoint hard-to-see oil that might then be treated with oil-eating bacteria.” A neat idea, but too many times have we started yet another environmental disaster to combat a previous one. I suggest that we dig trenches on beaches that have supposedly already been cleaned up and shine the UV light in there.

* Remember, BP’s expenses from the cleanup are tax-deductible.

LiveScience | What Will Happen to Gulf Oil if Bonnie Strikes?

What happens will depend in part on which way the wind blows. Hurricanes move in a counter-clockwise direction and so tend to move water from east to west — the opposite direction from the way the oil has generally been spreading so far. That means a tropical storm or hurricane passing to the west of the oil slick could drive oil to the coast, while one to the east could push oil away from the coast, according to NOAA.

In which we find out that the methane is just the farts of the Decepticons submerged at the bottom of the Gulf of Mexico who were getting bored of waiting to take over the world once again so they ordered out for Taco Bell.

No, don’t read that. Read this: The Gulf of Mexico spill is bad enough without turning it into a disaster movie

The idea that there is a huge, continuous, high pressure reservoir of [methane] gas beneath the sea floor, just waiting to explode, is fundamentally mistaken. If there was, do you think BP would drill through a vast, easily obtainable hydrocarbon resource to get to a more technically challenging reserve?

… This doesn’t mean the methane being released from the leaking well isn’t worrying: in fact, it’s potentially a huge ecological problem for the Gulf of Mexico. Bacteria in the water column will happily respire it and use up all the oxygen, creating the ‘dead zones’ we’re hearing so much about. Seriously, isn’t reality bad enough? Do we really need to pretend we’re in a Michael Bay movie?

I point this out, of course, to dispel myths, promote facts, promote sound policies at all levels, etc. etc.

And still haven’t forgiven Pierce Brosnan for Dante’s Peak.

Go read Pistolette’s take on Mitch Landrieu’s State Of New Orleans speech. All of it.

Wow, Ray Nagin is the bald, black version of W. We always knew it, but it isn’t so stinkingly apparent until you’re confronted with the final bill. Um, waiter, we didn’t order all that. Too bad, it’s your lucky day to pay it.

If you come away from it thinking “Boy, am I glad I don’t live in that city,” you are blind and deaf. It is everywhere in this country and especially bad when visitors from India say, “Hey, this sounds just like home!”

Meanwhile, back at the oyster farm, they’re all dead and, as oil comes ashore, the Mississippi coast faces its largest environmental crisis since Katrina. Someone alert Haley Barbour. Oh wait, he doesn’t really care.

Southeast Asia handled the tsunami aftermath better than this.